The Patriots and Falcons will kick off the Week 11 on Thursday Night Football. Las Vegas sportsbooks opened the matchup with totals as high as 48 and with the Patriots laying six points as road favorites. Bill Belichick’s M.O. is to take away the opposing team’s best player. That’s why you’re not going to see Kyle Pitts in this FanDuel single-game lineup despite his immense talent, but there are still plenty of potential DFS studs and value sleepers.
Here are the key scoring settings for FanDuel single-game contests: The point total for the “MVP” is multiplied by 1.5, but he doesn’t cost any additional money like the “Captain” in DraftKings Showdown contests. FanDuel’s default scoring is half-point PPR and four-point passing TDs, and there are no bonuses for 100/300-yard games like on DraftKings.
MORE FD SINGLE GAME: How to win a FanDuel single-game contest
FanDuel Single-Game DFS Picks: Patriots vs. Falcons
$60,000 budget, need at least one player from each team
MVP: (1.5x points) RB Damien Harris, Patriots ($13,500)
Harris leads the Patriots in touches (144) by a healthy margin in spite of missing last week’s game with a concussion. He’s also tied for the team lead with seven touchdowns. The Falcons feature one of the game’s worst run defenses, and the Patriots will have no qualms about pounding the rock the entire game if it leads them to a victory.
MORE TNF: Patterson update
FLEX: RB Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($13,000)
Stevenson has played well when he hasn’t been booking trips to the doghouse. While he hasn’t been used liberally in the passing game (13 targets), he’s been efficient with his opportunities (11 receptions, 10.1 YPC). There will be enough volume for both Harris and Stevenson to deliver a productive score.
FLEX: TE Hunter Henry, Patriots ($11,000)
Henry has been on fire of late, scoring a touchdown in six of his past seven games, including two against the Browns last week. His volume of opportunity over that span (29 targets) is a bit unappealing, but it appears as if Henry has established himself as a primary red-zone target. We’re not keeping our fingers crossed for a significant target bump, but we’re going to include Henry with the idea that he’ll have another shot at scoring a touchdown.
FLEX: WR Kendrick Bourne, Patriots ($9,500)
Bourne is third on the team in targets, but he’s been the most efficient receiver of the position group. He’s caught 33 of his 43 looks (76.7 percent) and averaged 15.8 yards per grab. He also leads Patriots receivers with three touchdowns. In a matchup that hints at a run-heavy approach from New England, we want to find the piece(s) of the passing game that will make the biggest impact on limited opportunities.
FLEX RB Mike Davis, Falcons ($7,500):
We know how disappointing Davis has been this season, and if you’re among those who bought into the idea of him serving as a reliable season-long option, you definitely know how big of a bust he’s been. However, with Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) dinged up, and Kyle Pitts’ face destined for a milk carton, Davis could be leaned on heavily as a runner and outlet out of the backfield.