NFL picks Week 13: Expert predictions for Patriots vs. Bills showdown originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston
The most anticipated game on the NFL Week 13 schedule is an AFC East showdown.
How important is this game? Well, according to FiveThirtyEight, the winner of this matchup will have at least a 78 percent chance of winning the division. The division crown comes with at least one home playoff game in January.
It’s the first of two Patriots-Bills games this season. The other is a Week 16 matchup in Foxboro. New England enters Monday’s game with a league-best six-game win streak. The Patriots also have been road warriors this season with a 5-0 record away from Gillette Stadium.
The Bills have not been as dominant as last season. They’re 2-2 in their last four games, a stretch that includes a bad 9-6 loss to an inferior Jacksonville Jaguars team and a 41-15 defeat at home to the Indianapolis Colts.
Buffalo defeated New England twice in 2020 en route to its first AFC East title since 1995.
Which team will take control of the division race Monday night? Here’s a roundup of expert predictions for Patriots-Bills (with the predicted score, when given).
Phil Perry, NBC Sports Boston: Patriots 23, Bills 20
Mike Reiss, ESPN: Bills 20, Patriots 16
Rob Ninkovich, ESPN: Patriots
Mike Clay, ESPN: Bills
Gregg Rosenthal, NFL.com: Bills 20, Patriots 17
Sam Farmer, Los Angeles Times: Bills 27, Patriots 23
Jenny Vrentas, Sports Illustrated: Patriots
Will Brinson, CBS Sports: Patriots 21, Bills 17
Nate Davis, USA TODAY Sports: Patriots 28, Bills 23
Bill Bender, Sporting News: Patriots 23, Bills 20
FiveThirtyEight model: Bills 56 percent, Patriots 44 percent